Newly created Polymarket accounts win big on well-timed Iran ceasefire bets

Newly created Polymarket accounts made well-timed bets on a US-Iran ceasefire hours before Trump announced the deal, with at least 50 accounts profiting hundreds of thousands of dollars. Analysis of blockchain data reveals wallets created immediately before the announcement placed substantial bets at odds suggesting prior knowledge of the outcome. The pattern raises questions about insider trading and information asymmetry on prediction markets.